新莱应材: 半导体设备关键材料执掌者,业务宽广多点开花
(以下内容从天风证券《新莱应材: 半导体设备关键材料执掌者,业务宽广多点开花》研报附件原文摘录)
Kunshan Kinglai Hygienic Materials (300260 CH) 半导体设备关键材料执掌者,业务宽广多点开花 Initiation of coverage: semiconductor equipment materials industry leader’s full-coverage strategy TP:RMB58.98 BUY (initiation) 投资要点/Investment Thesis 投资要点/Investment Thesis 高洁净应用材料知名供应商,食品包材全产业链布局 公司产品主要应用于食品饮料、生物医药和真空与电子半导体等需要制程污染控制的领域。2018年公司收购山东碧海100%股权,由此实现从关键部件到集成设备的行业整合。山东碧海可以为液态食品企业提供前处理设备、灌装设备、后段包装设备、施工安装以及无菌包装材料等等在内的一体化服务。公司2021年前三个季度实现营收14.78亿元,同比增长50.83%,净利润为1.21亿元,同比增长92.6%。截至2021年6月底,公司食品类营收4.74亿元,同比增长65.5%;医药类营收2.28亿元,同比增长40.7%;电子洁净类营收1.95亿元,同比增长23.0%。 Full supply coverage: ultra-clean application and food packaging materials Kinglai’s products, mainly used in the F&B, biopharmaceutical and vacuum/electronic semiconductor industries, require process contamination control. It acquired 100% of GsPak in 2018, thus achieving full business coverage from key components to integrated equipment. GsPak’s integrated services for liquid food companies cover pre-treatment, filling and post-packaging equipment, construction and installation, as well as aseptic packaging materials. Kinglai generated revenue of RMB1.48bn in 1-3Q21, an increase of 50.83% yoy, and net profit of RMB121m, up 92.6% yoy. As of end-June 2021, revenue from the F&B segment was at RMB474m, up 65.5% yoy; pharmaceuticals at RMB228m, up 40.7%; and the clean electronic segment at RMB195m, up 23.0%. 晶圆厂扩产利好半导体设备商,带动高洁净应用材料需求扩容 2020Q4 以来缺芯情况严重,预计2022年才能缓解。应对产能缺口,晶圆厂商纷纷扩产。根据所收集到的数据,预计2021年国内晶圆厂扩产投资规模为1130.16亿元,可提供产能91-92万片/月。半导体设备是晶圆制造厂的最大投资项,约占整体投资总额的 75-80%,预计随着晶圆厂产能扩产项目的建设,会带来大量半导体设备需求。随着先进制程的推进、刻蚀/沉积道数的增多以及高毒性气体的大量使用,高洁净材料环节将迎来迅猛发展。半导体晶圆制造对洁净生产规格要求进一步提高,半导体设备行业持续的高涨将带动高洁净材料需求扩容。 公司高洁净应用材料主要是以零部件的形式出售,服务于设备端和厂务端,我们估算2022年中国大陆半导体零部件市场空间为570.32亿元。 Wafer fab expansion benefits semiconductor equipment manufacturers, driving demand growth of ultra-clean application materials The core shortage in the market since 4Q20 is widely expected to ease in 2022E. In response to the capacity shortage, wafer fabs have expanded production. Based on the data we have gathered, China’s wafer fab market expansion had an investment scale of RMB113.02bn in 2021, which provides capacity of 910,000-920,000 wafers per month. Semiconductor equipment account for the largest proportion of investments in wafer fabrication plants at 75-80% of the total. The construction of wafer plant capacity expansion projects implies that a high volume of semiconductor equipment will be required. With advanced manufacturing processes, etching/deposition channel increases and the large-scale use of highly toxic gases, ultra-clean materials have high growth potential. Semiconductor wafer manufacturing requirements for clean production specifications would rise, and with it, the semiconductor equipment industry would drive higher demand for ultra-clean materials. The company‘s ultra-clean application materials are mainly sold as parts and components to the equipment and factory markets. We estimate China’s potential market for semiconductor parts at RMB57.03bn in 2022E. 技术壁垒+客户资源构建行业地位护城河 公司高洁净应用材料产品对材质和工艺有很高的要求,这些应用产品在各个领域获得了广泛的国际资质认证,达到国内外先进水平。此外公司还是目前国内同行业中少数拥有完整技术体系的厂商之一,覆盖开发设计、精密机械加工、表面处理、精密焊接、洁净室清洗与包装等一系列核心技术。 公司拥有丰富的客户资源,在半导体领域,与美国排名前二的半导体设备厂商美商应材、拉姆研究有合作关系;在医药领域,国内前二的制药机械企业东富龙与楚天科技已经与公司深度合作近二十年;在食品领域,山东碧海获得了许多知名客户的认可,例如三元乳业、完达山乳业、康师傅集团、可口可乐、雀巢等企业。 Competitive barriers: tech know-how and customer resources The company‘s ultra-clean application material products have stringent material and process requirements. The advanced-level application products have passed extensive international qualification certifications in various fields at home and abroad. Kinglai is also one of the few domestic manufacturers with a complete industry tech coverage, including the core areas of development and design, precision machining, surface treatment, precision welding, clean rooms and packaging. The company has a wealth of customer resources. In the semiconductor field, it has ties with two top US semiconductor equipment manufacturers, US Applied Materials and Lam Research. In the field of medicine, it has nearly two decades of collaboration with the top two domestic pharmaceutical machinery companies, Tofflon Science and Technology Group and Truking Technology. In F&B, GsPak is recognized by well-known customers such as Sanyuan Dairy, Wonder Sun Dairy, Master Kong Group, Coca-Cola and Nestlé. 重点推荐/Recommendation 投资建议: 预计公司2021-2023年归母净利润分别为1.71亿元,3.48亿元,4.76亿元,YOY分别为+106.75%、+104.12%、+36.46%。基于半导体市场规模持续扩张和公司的产业链战略布局,估计2022年目标市值133.61亿人民币,对应目标价58.98元,首次覆盖予以“买入”评级。 Valuation and risks We expect net profit of RMB171m/348m/476m in 2021/22/23E, increasing 106.75%/ 104.12%/ 36.46% yoy. With an expanding semiconductor market and Kinlai’s strategic supply chain buildout, we expect market value to reach RMB13.36bn in 2022E, corresponding to our target price of RMB58.98. We initiate coverage with a BUY rating. 风险提示:国际政治环境变化,新冠疫情持续时间较长,户外行业增速放缓、市场竞争加剧,第一大客户销售占比较高,近期曾出现股价异动,跨市场可比公司存在估值偏差等风险。 Risks include: Risks include: industry policy risks; exchange rate fluctuations; environmental protection and production safety risks; deviations in potential market calculations; and we note the company’s share price volatility over the past six months. 以下为研报节选,查看更多请联系天风国际销售团队或访问天风国际研报网页。 The following is an extract. For the full report, please contact our sales team or visit the TFI report website. 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Kunshan Kinglai Hygienic Materials (300260 CH) 半导体设备关键材料执掌者,业务宽广多点开花 Initiation of coverage: semiconductor equipment materials industry leader’s full-coverage strategy TP:RMB58.98 BUY (initiation) 投资要点/Investment Thesis 投资要点/Investment Thesis 高洁净应用材料知名供应商,食品包材全产业链布局 公司产品主要应用于食品饮料、生物医药和真空与电子半导体等需要制程污染控制的领域。2018年公司收购山东碧海100%股权,由此实现从关键部件到集成设备的行业整合。山东碧海可以为液态食品企业提供前处理设备、灌装设备、后段包装设备、施工安装以及无菌包装材料等等在内的一体化服务。公司2021年前三个季度实现营收14.78亿元,同比增长50.83%,净利润为1.21亿元,同比增长92.6%。截至2021年6月底,公司食品类营收4.74亿元,同比增长65.5%;医药类营收2.28亿元,同比增长40.7%;电子洁净类营收1.95亿元,同比增长23.0%。 Full supply coverage: ultra-clean application and food packaging materials Kinglai’s products, mainly used in the F&B, biopharmaceutical and vacuum/electronic semiconductor industries, require process contamination control. It acquired 100% of GsPak in 2018, thus achieving full business coverage from key components to integrated equipment. GsPak’s integrated services for liquid food companies cover pre-treatment, filling and post-packaging equipment, construction and installation, as well as aseptic packaging materials. Kinglai generated revenue of RMB1.48bn in 1-3Q21, an increase of 50.83% yoy, and net profit of RMB121m, up 92.6% yoy. As of end-June 2021, revenue from the F&B segment was at RMB474m, up 65.5% yoy; pharmaceuticals at RMB228m, up 40.7%; and the clean electronic segment at RMB195m, up 23.0%. 晶圆厂扩产利好半导体设备商,带动高洁净应用材料需求扩容 2020Q4 以来缺芯情况严重,预计2022年才能缓解。应对产能缺口,晶圆厂商纷纷扩产。根据所收集到的数据,预计2021年国内晶圆厂扩产投资规模为1130.16亿元,可提供产能91-92万片/月。半导体设备是晶圆制造厂的最大投资项,约占整体投资总额的 75-80%,预计随着晶圆厂产能扩产项目的建设,会带来大量半导体设备需求。随着先进制程的推进、刻蚀/沉积道数的增多以及高毒性气体的大量使用,高洁净材料环节将迎来迅猛发展。半导体晶圆制造对洁净生产规格要求进一步提高,半导体设备行业持续的高涨将带动高洁净材料需求扩容。 公司高洁净应用材料主要是以零部件的形式出售,服务于设备端和厂务端,我们估算2022年中国大陆半导体零部件市场空间为570.32亿元。 Wafer fab expansion benefits semiconductor equipment manufacturers, driving demand growth of ultra-clean application materials The core shortage in the market since 4Q20 is widely expected to ease in 2022E. In response to the capacity shortage, wafer fabs have expanded production. Based on the data we have gathered, China’s wafer fab market expansion had an investment scale of RMB113.02bn in 2021, which provides capacity of 910,000-920,000 wafers per month. Semiconductor equipment account for the largest proportion of investments in wafer fabrication plants at 75-80% of the total. The construction of wafer plant capacity expansion projects implies that a high volume of semiconductor equipment will be required. With advanced manufacturing processes, etching/deposition channel increases and the large-scale use of highly toxic gases, ultra-clean materials have high growth potential. Semiconductor wafer manufacturing requirements for clean production specifications would rise, and with it, the semiconductor equipment industry would drive higher demand for ultra-clean materials. The company‘s ultra-clean application materials are mainly sold as parts and components to the equipment and factory markets. We estimate China’s potential market for semiconductor parts at RMB57.03bn in 2022E. 技术壁垒+客户资源构建行业地位护城河 公司高洁净应用材料产品对材质和工艺有很高的要求,这些应用产品在各个领域获得了广泛的国际资质认证,达到国内外先进水平。此外公司还是目前国内同行业中少数拥有完整技术体系的厂商之一,覆盖开发设计、精密机械加工、表面处理、精密焊接、洁净室清洗与包装等一系列核心技术。 公司拥有丰富的客户资源,在半导体领域,与美国排名前二的半导体设备厂商美商应材、拉姆研究有合作关系;在医药领域,国内前二的制药机械企业东富龙与楚天科技已经与公司深度合作近二十年;在食品领域,山东碧海获得了许多知名客户的认可,例如三元乳业、完达山乳业、康师傅集团、可口可乐、雀巢等企业。 Competitive barriers: tech know-how and customer resources The company‘s ultra-clean application material products have stringent material and process requirements. The advanced-level application products have passed extensive international qualification certifications in various fields at home and abroad. Kinglai is also one of the few domestic manufacturers with a complete industry tech coverage, including the core areas of development and design, precision machining, surface treatment, precision welding, clean rooms and packaging. The company has a wealth of customer resources. In the semiconductor field, it has ties with two top US semiconductor equipment manufacturers, US Applied Materials and Lam Research. In the field of medicine, it has nearly two decades of collaboration with the top two domestic pharmaceutical machinery companies, Tofflon Science and Technology Group and Truking Technology. In F&B, GsPak is recognized by well-known customers such as Sanyuan Dairy, Wonder Sun Dairy, Master Kong Group, Coca-Cola and Nestlé. 重点推荐/Recommendation 投资建议: 预计公司2021-2023年归母净利润分别为1.71亿元,3.48亿元,4.76亿元,YOY分别为+106.75%、+104.12%、+36.46%。基于半导体市场规模持续扩张和公司的产业链战略布局,估计2022年目标市值133.61亿人民币,对应目标价58.98元,首次覆盖予以“买入”评级。 Valuation and risks We expect net profit of RMB171m/348m/476m in 2021/22/23E, increasing 106.75%/ 104.12%/ 36.46% yoy. With an expanding semiconductor market and Kinlai’s strategic supply chain buildout, we expect market value to reach RMB13.36bn in 2022E, corresponding to our target price of RMB58.98. We initiate coverage with a BUY rating. 风险提示:国际政治环境变化,新冠疫情持续时间较长,户外行业增速放缓、市场竞争加剧,第一大客户销售占比较高,近期曾出现股价异动,跨市场可比公司存在估值偏差等风险。 Risks include: Risks include: industry policy risks; exchange rate fluctuations; environmental protection and production safety risks; deviations in potential market calculations; and we note the company’s share price volatility over the past six months. 以下为研报节选,查看更多请联系天风国际销售团队或访问天风国际研报网页。 The following is an extract. For the full report, please contact our sales team or visit the TFI report website. Email: equity@tfisec.com TFI research report website: (pls scan the QR code) 免责声明 分析师声明 本出版物署名分析师在此声明:本报告所表述的所有观点均准确地反映了分析师对目标证券和发行人的个人看法。分析师所得报酬的任何部分不曾与,不与,也将不会与本报告中的具体投资建议或观点有直接或间接联系。分析师所得报酬的任何部分也不与天风证券股份有限公司(“天风证券”)或其下属公司开展的任何投资银行业务有联系。 一般声明 本出版物内出现的名词“天风集团”意指天风证券有限公司及其全球范围内的附属公司和分支公司,包括天风国际资产管理公司。本出版物及其内含的所有材料是由天风集团以及(如适用)在第一页或本出版物其他地方注明了的工作人员所属的一个或多个天风集团旗下公司准备的。 本出版物的所有内容均属机密仅供天风集团的客户使用,天风集团不因收件人收到本出版物而视其为天风集团的客户。本报告中的信息均来源自我们认为可靠的已公开数据,但天风集团对这些信息的准确性及完整性不作任何保证。本报告中的信息、意见等均仅供天风集团的客户参考,不构成所述证券买卖的出价或征价邀请或要约。该等信息、意见并未考虑到获取本报告人员的具体投资目的、财务状况以及特定需求,在任何时候均不构成对任何人的个人推荐。天风集团的客户应当对本出版物中的信息和意见进行独立评估,并应同时考虑各自的投资目的、财务状况和特定需求,必要时就法律、商业、财务、税收等方面咨询专家的意见。对依据或者使用本报告所造成的一切后果,天风集团及/或其关联人员均不承担任何法律责任。鉴于本报告可能开放于任何受众,本报告仅提供于有能力独立判断投资风险,能对自己投资决策有独立判断能力,并能根据自己对潜在投资、市场因素和其他投资考虑标准的独立判断来做出投资决策的收件人。 本出版物所载的意见、评估及预测仅为本出版物发布日的观点和判断。该等意见、评估及预测无需通知即可随时更改。过往的表现亦不应作为日后表现的预示和担保。在不同时期,天风集团可能会发出与本报告所载意见、评估及预测不一致的研究报告。本报告中不含任何对预测收益的一定可以实现的表达或保证。在分析当中有决定收益的相关假设。这些假设的改变可能对本报告预测的收益产生重大影响。 天风集团的销售人员、交易人员以及其他专业人士可能会依据不同假设和标准、采用不同的分析方法而口头或书面发表与本出版物意见及建议不一致的市场评论和/或交易观点。天风集团没有将此意见及建议向报告所有接收者进行更新的义务。天风集团的资产管理部门、自营部门以及其他投资业务部门可能独立做出与本出版物中的意见或建议不一致的投资决策。 特别声明 天风集团对于在研究业务当中可能产生的利益冲突有着完备的辨识和管理章程。天风集团的分析师以及其他参与本研究出版物撰写和宣传的员工有着独立于天风集团投资银行业务线的管理体系。投资银行、自营交易以及研究业务各自之间有着信息壁垒,确保任何机密以及/或者价格敏感信息被妥善处置。 本报告中所示分析师可能不时与我们的客户(包括天风集团销售员、交易员和其他专家)讨论各种交易策略,其中提及的交易策略可能会对本报告讨论的股票证券价格市场价格产生短期影响的助动因素或事件。这些可能与分析师对股票的预期价格产生抵触。但是任何此类的交易策略不同于也不会影响分析师对股票的基本评级。 在适用法律许可的情况下,天风集团可能会持有本报告中提及公司所发行的证券并进行交易,也可能为这些公司提供或争取提供投资银行、财务顾问和金融产品等各种金融服务。因此,投资者应当考虑到天风集团及/或其相关人员可能存在影响本报告观点客观性的潜在利益冲突,投资者请勿将本出版物视为投资或其他决定的唯一参考依据。 中国:本出版物在中华人民共和国(除开香港、澳门和台湾地区)由天风证券有限公司发布。天风证券股份有限公司根据中国证券监督管理委员会合法的经营业务许可运营, 当中含证券投资咨询业务。 香港:本出版物在香港由天风国际资产管理有限公司发布。天风资产管理有限公司是受香港证券及期货事务监察委员会监管并在其核准下开展证券及期货条例第571章内的受管4号牌业务(证券咨询服务),5号牌业务(期货咨询服务)以及9号牌业务(资产管理服务)。香港地区读者有任何关于本出版物的疑义可以直接咨询本公司香港销售代表。 其他司法管辖地区:研究出版物在其他司法管辖地区下的发布可能会受限于当地适用之法规,但在合规于特定司法管辖下的法律法规后会变得可行。本研究出版物不针对或旨在分发于任何属于或位于任何分布,出版,供应或使用此类研究出版物属违法之地区,州,国家或其他司法管辖区的公民或居民的任何个人或实体。 评级定义 投资评级 类别 说明 评级 体系 股票投资评级 在报告发布日期后的6个月内,相对同期该股票的司法管辖区之指数的涨跌幅 买入 预期股价相对收益20%以上 增持 预期股价相对收益10%到20% 中立 预期股价相对收益-10%到10% 持有 预期股价相对收益-10% 行业投资评级 在报告发布日期后的6个月内,相对同期该行业的司法管辖区之指数的涨跌幅 强于大市 预期行业指数涨幅5% 中性 预期行业指数涨幅 -5%到5% 弱于大市 预期行业指数涨幅 -5% 管辖区 用于定义评级的指数 中国大陆 沪深300指数 中国-香港 恒生指数 中国-澳门 恒生指数 美国 标准普尔500指数 本出版物版权归天风集团所有。任何未经天风集团书面允许的发布、复制、出版以及引用均属未授权行为。 Disclaimer Analyst Statement Each research analyst identified in this publicationcertifies that all of the views expressed in this publication by such analystaccurately reflect the personal views of each such analyst about the subjectsecurities and issuers. 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