湘油泵: 電子油泵系重要新趨勢,公司深度佈局核心客戶
(以下内容从天风国际证券《湘油泵: 電子油泵系重要新趨勢,公司深度佈局核心客戶》研报附件原文摘录)
Hunan Oil Pump (603319 CH) 电子油泵系重要新趋势,公司深度布局核心客户 HOP’s potential growth leverages tech leadership, strong key customer ties and rising market demand TP:RMB28.52 BUY (maintain) 投资要点/Investment Thesis 投资要点/Investment Thesis 国内发动机润滑冷却泵龙头,积极推动新能源化转型 公司是国内发动机润滑冷却泵领域的龙头企业之一,拥有电子油泵、电子水泵、可变排量泵等国内领先、国际先进的核心技术,实现汽车泵类产品全产业链覆盖。据公司23年业绩快报披露的数据,2023年公司实现营业收入 194,090.09 万元,同比增长 19.48%;归属於上市公司股东的净利润 22,574.52 万元,同比增长 33.11%。公司近六年持续加大研发投入,积极拓宽新能源市场,新能源业务增长亮眼。 Chinese engine lubrication and cooling pump leader adds NEV coverage Hunan Oil Pump (HOP) is a Chinese market leader in engine lubrication and cooling pumps. The company covers the full supply chain in automotive pump products and advanced core technology holds the edge in the domestic and global electronic oil and water pump markets, as well as variable displacement pumps. It posted revenue of RMB1.94bn in 2023, up 19.48%; with net profit up 33.11% to RMB225.75m. HOP has increased R&D investments over the past six years to grow its new energy business, which has resulted in strong growth. 可变排量泵业务持续增长,与混动龙头比亚迪合作关系稳固 变排量泵技术节省能耗优势突出,可大幅提升发动机工作效率,是混动汽车动力系统的核心部件之一。公司变排量泵技术上达到国内领先,国际先进水平,已经切入多个海内外衆多客户,与混动领域龙头比亚迪进行合作,有望使可变排量泵产品销量持续增长。比亚迪已凭藉DM-i超级混动技术,实现2023年全年新能源汽车累计销量超302万辆,稳居全球新能源汽车销量第一。看好可变排量泵技术在混动蓝海的增值空间,未来有望长效赋能公司成长。 Hybrid EV leader BYD partnership drives variable displacement pump business Global tech leader: HOP’s variable displacement pump products are core components in the hybrid EV power system and its technology has energy-saving and engine efficiency advantages. Its advanced variable displacement pump technology leads the Chinese and international markets, and won over many customers around the world. BYD: HOP’s collaboration with BYD, the hybrid EV leader, could drive up its variable displacement pump product sales. BYD’s DM-i super hybrid technology is behind its sales of more than 3.02m new energy vehicles (NEV) in 2023, the highest in the world. We anticipate HOP’s variable displacement pump technology will bring value-added growth, catalyzed by the blue ocean market potential of hybrid EVs, and spur the company’s long-term growth. 电子油泵需求高速增长,驱动公司未来长远发展 电驱“三合一”背景下,电子油泵以高能效、集成化、高性价比的优势,逐渐成爲纯电车行业主流热管理选择。公司研制的电动机预供油泵、减速器电子泵等电子油泵产品已实现量产,并收获长安汽车阿维塔系列、东风、一汽、上汽等国内知名客户。公司电子油泵产品具有关键零部件自制、冷却-润滑双功能集成、高效率等优势,并上马扩产项目抢占市场份额,在电驱三合一风口之下,电子油泵未来需求有望持续攀升,将成爲公司业绩新的增长点。 Rapid demand rise for electronic oil pumps drives HOP’s long-term growth Amid a growing market for three-system electric drives, electronic oil pumps have become the mainstream thermal management option for pure EVs. Their advantages include energy efficiency, and integration and cost performance. HOP’s proprietary electronic oil pumps, including pre-oil supply pumps and reducer pumps, have achieved mass production and its well-known Chinese customers include Avatr Technology (backed by Changan Auto, CATL and Huawei), Dongfeng, FAW and SAIC. HOP’s advantages include proprietary key components, dual-function integration of cooling and lubrication, and high efficiency. The company started a production expansion project to help increase market share. We expect the three-system electric drive market will push up demand for electronic oil pumps and become a new profit growth driver for HOP. 投资建议/Investment Ideas 盈利预测与投资建议: 公司在新能源领域业务快速扩张+估值从较低的传统燃油车切换至更强的新能源领域的双重逻辑下有望迎来戴维斯双击。公司与比亚迪等龙头车企的合作也有望爲公司打开混动市场空间,与阿维塔等纯电车品牌绑定将进一步打开公司电子泵业务增长新曲线。我们预测23/24/25年公司归母净利润分别爲2.26/2.57/3.10亿元,给予湘油泵2024年23X PE,目标价格28.52元,维持“买入”评级。 Valuation and risks Summary: we believe the Davis double-growth effect will drive dual catalysts of a rapid NEV business expansion and the valuation premium of switching from the ICE cars to NEVs. Meanwhile, HOP’s partnerships with auto leaders like BYD expand its hybrid EV business potential, while ties with pure EV brands such as Avatr support further growth of its electronic pump business. Valuation: we forecast net profit of RMB226m/257m/310m in 2023/24/25E. We assign to HOP a 23x PE in 2024E, with our target price at RMB28.52. We maintain our BUY rating on the stock. 风险提示:技术应用进度不及预期;市场竞争加剧;新能源汽车行业复甦不及预期;原辅材料价格波动风险;可转债募集项目建设不及预期;23年业绩快报是初步测算结果,具体财务数据以公司披露年报爲准。 Risks include: slower-than-expected tech application progress; intensifying competition; slower-than-expected recovery of the NEV market; price fluctuations in raw and auxiliary materials; and weaker-than-expected fundraising of the convertible bond project. Note: the 2023 performance report details preliminary estimates and is subject to actual data in the company’s release of its final 2023 results report. Email: equity@tfisec.com TFI research report website: (pls scan the QR code) 本文件由天风国际证券集团有限公司, 天风国际证券与期货有限公司(证监会中央编号:BAV573)及天风国际资产管理有限公司(证监会中央编号:ASF056)(合称“天风国际集团”)编制,所载资料可能以若干假设为基础,仅供作非商业用途及参考之用途,会因经济、市场及其他情况而随时更改而毋须另行通知。任何媒体、网站或个人未经授权不得转载、连结、转贴或以其他方式复制发表本档及任何内容。已获授权者,在使用本档或任何内容时必须注明稿件来源於天风国际集团,并承诺遵守相关法例及一切使用的国际惯例,不为任何非法目的或以任何非法方式使用本档,违者将依法追究相关法律责任。本档所引用之资料或资料可能得自协力厂商,天风国际集团将尽可能确认资料来源之可靠性,但天风国际集团并不对协力厂商所提供资料或资料之准确性负责。且天风国际集团不会就本档所载任何资料、预测及/或意见的公平性、准确性、时限性、完整性或正确性,以及任何该等预测及/或意见所依据的基准作出任何明文或暗示的保证、陈述、担保或承诺而负责或承担任何法律责任。本档中如有类似前瞻性陈述之内容,此等内容或陈述不得视为对任何将来表现之保证,且应注意实际情况或发展可能与该等陈述有重大落差。本档并非及不应被视为邀约、招揽、邀请、建议买卖任何投资产品或投资决策之依据,亦不应被诠释为专业意见。阅览本文件的人士或在作出任何投资决策前,应完全瞭解其风险以及有关法律、赋税及会计的特点及後果,并根据个人的情况决定投资是否切合个人的投资目标,以及能否承担有关风险,必要时应寻求适当的专业意见。投资涉及风险。敬请投资者注意,证券及投资的价值可升亦可跌,过往的表现不一定可以预示日後的表现。在若干国家,传阅及分派本档的方式可能受法律或规例所限制。获取本档的人士须知悉及遵守该等限制。
Hunan Oil Pump (603319 CH) 电子油泵系重要新趋势,公司深度布局核心客户 HOP’s potential growth leverages tech leadership, strong key customer ties and rising market demand TP:RMB28.52 BUY (maintain) 投资要点/Investment Thesis 投资要点/Investment Thesis 国内发动机润滑冷却泵龙头,积极推动新能源化转型 公司是国内发动机润滑冷却泵领域的龙头企业之一,拥有电子油泵、电子水泵、可变排量泵等国内领先、国际先进的核心技术,实现汽车泵类产品全产业链覆盖。据公司23年业绩快报披露的数据,2023年公司实现营业收入 194,090.09 万元,同比增长 19.48%;归属於上市公司股东的净利润 22,574.52 万元,同比增长 33.11%。公司近六年持续加大研发投入,积极拓宽新能源市场,新能源业务增长亮眼。 Chinese engine lubrication and cooling pump leader adds NEV coverage Hunan Oil Pump (HOP) is a Chinese market leader in engine lubrication and cooling pumps. The company covers the full supply chain in automotive pump products and advanced core technology holds the edge in the domestic and global electronic oil and water pump markets, as well as variable displacement pumps. It posted revenue of RMB1.94bn in 2023, up 19.48%; with net profit up 33.11% to RMB225.75m. HOP has increased R&D investments over the past six years to grow its new energy business, which has resulted in strong growth. 可变排量泵业务持续增长,与混动龙头比亚迪合作关系稳固 变排量泵技术节省能耗优势突出,可大幅提升发动机工作效率,是混动汽车动力系统的核心部件之一。公司变排量泵技术上达到国内领先,国际先进水平,已经切入多个海内外衆多客户,与混动领域龙头比亚迪进行合作,有望使可变排量泵产品销量持续增长。比亚迪已凭藉DM-i超级混动技术,实现2023年全年新能源汽车累计销量超302万辆,稳居全球新能源汽车销量第一。看好可变排量泵技术在混动蓝海的增值空间,未来有望长效赋能公司成长。 Hybrid EV leader BYD partnership drives variable displacement pump business Global tech leader: HOP’s variable displacement pump products are core components in the hybrid EV power system and its technology has energy-saving and engine efficiency advantages. Its advanced variable displacement pump technology leads the Chinese and international markets, and won over many customers around the world. BYD: HOP’s collaboration with BYD, the hybrid EV leader, could drive up its variable displacement pump product sales. BYD’s DM-i super hybrid technology is behind its sales of more than 3.02m new energy vehicles (NEV) in 2023, the highest in the world. We anticipate HOP’s variable displacement pump technology will bring value-added growth, catalyzed by the blue ocean market potential of hybrid EVs, and spur the company’s long-term growth. 电子油泵需求高速增长,驱动公司未来长远发展 电驱“三合一”背景下,电子油泵以高能效、集成化、高性价比的优势,逐渐成爲纯电车行业主流热管理选择。公司研制的电动机预供油泵、减速器电子泵等电子油泵产品已实现量产,并收获长安汽车阿维塔系列、东风、一汽、上汽等国内知名客户。公司电子油泵产品具有关键零部件自制、冷却-润滑双功能集成、高效率等优势,并上马扩产项目抢占市场份额,在电驱三合一风口之下,电子油泵未来需求有望持续攀升,将成爲公司业绩新的增长点。 Rapid demand rise for electronic oil pumps drives HOP’s long-term growth Amid a growing market for three-system electric drives, electronic oil pumps have become the mainstream thermal management option for pure EVs. Their advantages include energy efficiency, and integration and cost performance. HOP’s proprietary electronic oil pumps, including pre-oil supply pumps and reducer pumps, have achieved mass production and its well-known Chinese customers include Avatr Technology (backed by Changan Auto, CATL and Huawei), Dongfeng, FAW and SAIC. HOP’s advantages include proprietary key components, dual-function integration of cooling and lubrication, and high efficiency. The company started a production expansion project to help increase market share. We expect the three-system electric drive market will push up demand for electronic oil pumps and become a new profit growth driver for HOP. 投资建议/Investment Ideas 盈利预测与投资建议: 公司在新能源领域业务快速扩张+估值从较低的传统燃油车切换至更强的新能源领域的双重逻辑下有望迎来戴维斯双击。公司与比亚迪等龙头车企的合作也有望爲公司打开混动市场空间,与阿维塔等纯电车品牌绑定将进一步打开公司电子泵业务增长新曲线。我们预测23/24/25年公司归母净利润分别爲2.26/2.57/3.10亿元,给予湘油泵2024年23X PE,目标价格28.52元,维持“买入”评级。 Valuation and risks Summary: we believe the Davis double-growth effect will drive dual catalysts of a rapid NEV business expansion and the valuation premium of switching from the ICE cars to NEVs. Meanwhile, HOP’s partnerships with auto leaders like BYD expand its hybrid EV business potential, while ties with pure EV brands such as Avatr support further growth of its electronic pump business. Valuation: we forecast net profit of RMB226m/257m/310m in 2023/24/25E. We assign to HOP a 23x PE in 2024E, with our target price at RMB28.52. We maintain our BUY rating on the stock. 风险提示:技术应用进度不及预期;市场竞争加剧;新能源汽车行业复甦不及预期;原辅材料价格波动风险;可转债募集项目建设不及预期;23年业绩快报是初步测算结果,具体财务数据以公司披露年报爲准。 Risks include: slower-than-expected tech application progress; intensifying competition; slower-than-expected recovery of the NEV market; price fluctuations in raw and auxiliary materials; and weaker-than-expected fundraising of the convertible bond project. Note: the 2023 performance report details preliminary estimates and is subject to actual data in the company’s release of its final 2023 results report. Email: equity@tfisec.com TFI research report website: (pls scan the QR code) 本文件由天风国际证券集团有限公司, 天风国际证券与期货有限公司(证监会中央编号:BAV573)及天风国际资产管理有限公司(证监会中央编号:ASF056)(合称“天风国际集团”)编制,所载资料可能以若干假设为基础,仅供作非商业用途及参考之用途,会因经济、市场及其他情况而随时更改而毋须另行通知。任何媒体、网站或个人未经授权不得转载、连结、转贴或以其他方式复制发表本档及任何内容。已获授权者,在使用本档或任何内容时必须注明稿件来源於天风国际集团,并承诺遵守相关法例及一切使用的国际惯例,不为任何非法目的或以任何非法方式使用本档,违者将依法追究相关法律责任。本档所引用之资料或资料可能得自协力厂商,天风国际集团将尽可能确认资料来源之可靠性,但天风国际集团并不对协力厂商所提供资料或资料之准确性负责。且天风国际集团不会就本档所载任何资料、预测及/或意见的公平性、准确性、时限性、完整性或正确性,以及任何该等预测及/或意见所依据的基准作出任何明文或暗示的保证、陈述、担保或承诺而负责或承担任何法律责任。本档中如有类似前瞻性陈述之内容,此等内容或陈述不得视为对任何将来表现之保证,且应注意实际情况或发展可能与该等陈述有重大落差。本档并非及不应被视为邀约、招揽、邀请、建议买卖任何投资产品或投资决策之依据,亦不应被诠释为专业意见。阅览本文件的人士或在作出任何投资决策前,应完全瞭解其风险以及有关法律、赋税及会计的特点及後果,并根据个人的情况决定投资是否切合个人的投资目标,以及能否承担有关风险,必要时应寻求适当的专业意见。投资涉及风险。敬请投资者注意,证券及投资的价值可升亦可跌,过往的表现不一定可以预示日後的表现。在若干国家,传阅及分派本档的方式可能受法律或规例所限制。获取本档的人士须知悉及遵守该等限制。
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